Democrats are gaining ground in growing, urbanizing, racially diverse states. … But there’s an important exception to this pattern: Florida. Florida is home to expanding metros such as Miami, Tampa, Orlando and Jacksonville. Almost half of Floridians are people of color, and the state’s population is increasing. Yet Florida voted […] Read more »
GOP Stands Alone in Backing Arizona State Senate Audit
As Legislative leaders attempt to secure every Republican vote to pass a budget, the audit becomes a good lens to see why legislative leaders have only one seat majorities in both the House and the Senate. In 2012, Republicans enjoyed super majorities in both chambers and controlled every statewide office […] Read more »
The Biden Ceiling
Once a political narrative takes hold, it’s hard to dislodge. And, one of the most stubborn of those narratives is that while GOP attacks on Democrats for their support of “defunding the police” and ‘socialism’ may not have cost Biden the election, it came close to denying House Democrats the […] Read more »
How the GOP lies about the US Capitol insurrection and 2020 election are related
The events of January 6 and its aftermath can be difficult to fathom. A number of Republicans don’t seem to comprehend them at all. They have fallen back on the lies that the riots we all saw on television and online that day were not an insurrection by supporters of […] Read more »
Over half of Republicans believe Donald Trump is the actual President of the United States
Former President Donald Trump’s stronghold over the Republican party remains. His refusal to concede the 2020 election and calls of widespread fraud have raised doubts about the integrity of its results among his Republican base. Consequently, 56% of Republicans believe the election was rigged or the result of illegal voting, […] Read more »
Survey experts have yet to figure out what caused the most significant polling error in 40 years in Trump-Biden race
Biden supporters in Philadelphia celebrate when his win – with a much smaller margin than predicted by polls – was projected by news outlets on Nov. 7, 2020. Chris McGrath/Getty Images W. Joseph Campbell, American University School of Communication More than six months after the astonishing polling embarrassment in the […] Read more »