Key Points • The coronavirus public health crisis likely will lead to an economic downturn of unknown length and severity. • Historically, second-quarter GDP growth in the election year is an important variable in predicting how an incumbent president will perform in the fall. • A recession could seriously damage […] Read more »
Don’t expect the coronavirus epidemic in the US to bring down President Trump
President Donald Trump speaks about the coronavirus in the press briefing room at the White House on March 15, 2020. Getty/Tasos Katopodis Alex De Waal, Tufts University The Trump administration’s mishandling of the coronavirus crisis has been widely condemned by health experts. But if the administration’s bungling proves costly to […] Read more »
This one number may explain why Biden won primaries
CNN political forecaster Harry Enten looks at key numbers in the wake of the Illinois, Florida and Arizona primaries that explain how former Vice President Joe Biden is well on his way to winning the Democratic presidential nomination. CONT. CNN Read more »
AP VoteCast: Biden cuts deep into the Sanders coalition
Joe Biden cut deep into Sen. Bernie Sanders’ coalition of young, liberal and Latino voters on Tuesday, securing solid victories in Florida, Illinois and Arizona in unsettled times. The former vice president expanded his support among groups that have been propping up the Vermont senator’s struggling campaign. Biden, who has […] Read more »
Coronavirus is a test Trump can’t pass with ideology alone
The coronavirus’ relentless spread is exposing Donald Trump to a question no president wants to hear: Is he up to the job? For supporters and opponents alike, questions about Trump’s basic competence as a manager of the federal government have taken a back seat during his presidency to the fierce […] Read more »
Trust and electability again elevate Biden
Joe Biden easily prevailed over Bernie Sanders in trust to handle a crisis and electability alike in telephone surveys in advance of Tuesday’s Democratic primary elections in Arizona, Florida and Illinois. With the coronavirus pandemic disrupting the world, health care was a high-level concern. Given the pandemic, exit polls were […] Read more »