What to Make of the Trump Approval Ratings Bump

As the coronavirus pandemic moves into week two, polls (both private and public) are showing a definite uptick for President Trump’s handling of the crisis — and even some movement in his overall job approval rating. … So what’s going on? Is this a short-term rally in a time of […] Read more »

A third report a job loss, half a pay cut as coronavirus crisis grips the economy

Economic impacts of the coronavirus crisis are gripping the nation: One in three Americans in an ABC News/Washington Post poll say they or an immediate family member have been laid off or lost their job as a result of the pandemic, and more – half – report a cut in […] Read more »

Turnout in the 2020 Democratic Primary: Some Clues for the Fall

Key Points • With very few exceptions, statewide turnout in the 2020 Democratic primary has been higher than 2016. • Suburban areas have seen some of the sharpest turnout increases — though these areas tend to have higher population growth, they’ve also trended blue in general elections, perhaps a positive […] Read more »

The Cleaner ‘Smoke-Filled Room’

Key Points • In the last 50 years, American political party leaders lost their historical control of the nominations of presidential candidates. • The reduced power held by these expert politicians contributed to Donald Trump’s nomination in 2016, and Democrats in 2020 came close to making a similar choice. • […] Read more »

Who Americans want Biden to choose as his Vice President

Vice President Joe Biden, the current frontrunner for the Democratic nomination for president, said he’s going to pick a female running mate. It’s a popular idea. Four in five (80%) Democratic voters approve of his commitment – 74 percent of male and 84 percent of female Democratic voters, according to […] Read more »

Americans’ Revulsion for Trump Is Underappreciated

The release on Friday of an ABC News/Ipsos poll indicating that 55 percent of Americans approved of Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus—12 points higher than the previous week—prompted another round of fatalistic chatter in certain quarters of the political establishment. Shocked by Trump’s victory in 2016, some left-leaning commentators […] Read more »