There’s a potential political time bomb ticking for President Donald Trump in the public reaction to his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Polls now consistently show that almost exactly half of Americans approve of how Trump is handling the outbreak. That’s a strikingly solid showing for him given the enormous […] Read more »
Applying Conventional Criteria to Biden’s Unconventional Vice Presidential Pool
Key Points• Biden’s historic announcement that his running mate will be a woman will limit his process in an unprecedented way, yet it still leaves him with a number of choices who reachable voters are likely to view as plausible presidents.• Even if Biden emphasizes choosing a presidential-caliber running mate, […] Read more »
Don’t Forget About Florida In 2020
Folks may be overlooking Florida in 2020. Poll averages over the last six months shows Biden’s lead in Florida is the same or greater as Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. It has a ton of electoral votes. And Biden is likely to benefit from presidential year turnout in Florida in ways he […] Read more »
Wisconsin’s Election Is A Mess
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we dig into some of the challenges that would accompany holding an election amid the coronavirus pandemic. As of the publishing of this podcast, it is unclear whether Wisconsin will be the only state in the country to hold in-person voting during […] Read more »
Americans Back President Trump On Coronavirus Crisis; Overall Approval Rating Rises
A plurality of Americans narrowly approve of President Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus crisis, according to a new IBD/TIPP poll. In addition, President Trump’s overall approval rating has turned slightly positive. … Likely Democratic nominee Joe Biden saw his lead on Donald Trump widening in the latest poll, even […] Read more »
Trump sees limits of presidency in avoiding blame for virus
President Donald Trump is confronting the most dangerous crisis a U.S. leader has faced this century as the coronavirus spreads and a once-vibrant economy falters. As the turmoil deepens, the choices he makes in the critical weeks ahead will shape his reelection prospects, legacy and the character of the nation. […] Read more »