Key Points• Following another presidential election in which pre-election polls often understated support for Donald Trump, the polling industry is once again trying to figure out what went wrong.• An American Association for Public Opinion Research task force pointed to a lack of education weighting in its post-2016 assessment, but […] Read more »
Behind Biden’s 2020 Victory: An examination of the 2020 electorate, based on validated voters
The 2020 presidential election was historic in many ways. Amid a global pandemic, with unprecedented changes in how Americans voted, voter turnout rose 7 percentage points over 2016, resulting in a total of 66% of U.S. adult citizens casting a ballot in the 2020 election. Joe Biden defeated Donald Trump […] Read more »
Theft Perception: Examining the Views of Americans Who Believe the 2020 Election was Stolen
Key Findings• Republicans widely support Donald Trump and believe his claims about a stolen election. While Republicans support all elements of the ‘Stop the Steal’ narrative in high numbers, the overall electorate largely rejects these claims and propositions.• Among Republicans, 85 percent believe it was appropriate for Trump to file […] Read more »
‘Luck’ didn’t win Biden the presidency. Party solidarity did.
The title of a new book, “Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won the Presidency,” by the journalists Jonathan Allen and Amie Parnes, sums up its thesis concisely: Biden is essentially president by accident. … This is a common thread in a lot of coverage of the 2020 Democratic presidential primary […] Read more »
As Democrats go hard left, Hispanics head to the center
The 2020 election was a surprise on many levels. President Donald Trump got much closer to reelection than most pundits predicted. The blue wave turned out to be a figment of the media’s and Democrats’ imagination. And Republicans did far better than expected down ballot and across the country. There […] Read more »
Public Supports Both Early Voting And Requiring Photo ID to Vote
Most Americans support both easier access to early voting and requiring photo identification to vote, according to the Monmouth University Poll. The public is more divided on expanding vote-by-mail, although a majority would like to see some national voting guidelines established for federal elections. The poll also finds that only […] Read more »