One of the most immediate repercussions of the COVID-19 pandemic on our politics is its impact on who votes and how they do it. Before COVID-19, there was an expectation for record-breaking turnout in 2020. … Since the outbreak of coronavirus, however, CNN polling has shown a dip in enthusiasm, […] Read more »
Trump’s ‘secret stash’ of voters
… Given that we are in the middle of a national health care crisis, wouldn’t it make sense not to draw sweeping conclusions about 2020 until things settle down? Handicappers of old may not use all the snazzy models of today, but we always had one rule of thumb on […] Read more »
Just don’t call them stupid, please …
… The 2020 election will pivot more on turnout than prior elections because of the complexities of process. It is therefore imperative that Democrats mobilize our vote but also that we avoid helping Trump and his allies mobilize theirs. Whenever we act like the party of elites – individually as […] Read more »
Biden’s strength with older voters could threaten Trump’s electoral path in 2020
A string of recent polls shows troubling signs for President Trump with older voters, a group central to his reelection effort that appears to be drifting away from him amid a pandemic that has been especially deadly for senior citizens. Former vice president Joe Biden, whose support from older voters […] Read more »
Americans More Worried About Health Than Economy, Oppose Socialism
The first wave of findings from our just completed national survey of 1,000 likely voters (+/- 3.1% at 95% C.I. taken between April 16 and 20), show more fully the dramatic extent of the unprecedented change in American voter public opinion due to the coronavirus great pandemic. Coronavirus health concerns […] Read more »
Voters are turning against Trump because of his leadership in the pandemic
In times of crisis, Americans look for strong presidential leadership and typically give presidents the benefit of the doubt. People “rally around the flag” and look for solace and a path ahead. A few months into the covid-19 crisis, however, that yearning is going unmet, and public doubts about President […] Read more »