The Brief: U.S. Senate outlook

Episode 1 of our new web series The Brief, with Markos Moulitsas. … This week’s guest on The Brief is Political Director David Nir, who answers questions about the US Senate, and our chances of forcing Mitch McConnell and his Republican Party to the minority. The Brief, with Markos Moulitsas Read more »

Can This President Be Reelected In An Economy This Bad?

As April began and Americans were being told to fear COVID-19 and stay home, President Trump said there would not need to be a “massive recession.” As recently as Monday, he said the economy would have “a tremendous third quarter.” By Wednesday, he was looking forward to “a fourth quarter […] Read more »

IBD/TIPP online survey: President Trump Pulls Even With Joe Biden Amid Coronavirus Crisis

President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden are locked in a tie, the new IBD/TIPP Poll finds. Joe Biden had led in every IBD/TIPP 2020 presidential election poll back to August, including a 6-point edge in early April. Meanwhile, President Trump’s job approval held its coronavirus crisis bounce. […] Read more »

New-Voter Registration Is Plummeting

… In March and early April, new registrations plummeted in many states compared with the same period in 2016, according to new data provided exclusively to The Atlantic by TargetSmart, a Democratic voter-targeting firm. “Registration will almost certainly be diminished, potentially by millions of voters, when all is said and […] Read more »

Trump erupts at campaign team as his poll numbers slide

President Donald Trump erupted at his top political advisers last week when they presented him with worrisome polling data that showed his support eroding in a series of battleground states as his response to the coronavirus comes under criticism. As the virus takes its deadly toll and much of the […] Read more »

The Senate: Looking Beyond the “Core Four”

Key Points• The focus on the evenly-matched battle for the Senate has in some ways narrowed to four GOP-held seats: Arizona, Colorado, Maine, and North Carolina.• Practically speaking, Democrats probably have to win all four, and the White House, to win the Senate.• However, the map may be expanding. Democrats’ […] Read more »