Americans give President Trump negative ratings for his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, and as the crisis has persisted his prospects for reelection in November have eroded, with former vice president Joe Biden now holding a clear lead nationally, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. Overall, Americans offer mixed […] Read more »
Advantage Biden, with risks; Trump disapproval grows
Joe Biden holds a 10-point lead over President Donald Trump among registered voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, but that’s sliced in half among those certain to vote, reflecting challenges for Biden in terms of voter commitment and enthusiasm alike. Trump has his own risks, including sharply negative […] Read more »
Majority Want Reopen of Economy, Schools, Churches
The results of our recently completed national survey of 1,000 likely voters show that although the direction of the country remains in roughly the same place as last month with 38% saying that we’re headed in the right direction, and 60% saying the U.S. is on the wrong track, there […] Read more »
What Biden’s VP Picks Say About Him
Given that presidential nominees choose their running mates without any formal input from voters, how they choose can say a lot about the candidate and his views of the party and country. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Perry Bacon Jr. and Julia Azari discuss the considerations former […] Read more »
When Voters Discuss Coronavirus, They’re Really Talking About Trump
The coronavirus has completely overtaken American life and politics, but in polls, most people don’t name it as their top voting issue. Political observers agree that what happens with the virus over the next few months is likely to determine the outcome of the November presidential election, but what they […] Read more »
Trump confronts a culture war of his own making as election looms
President Donald Trump is throwing himself into a culture war he has long stoked, and a battle for voters he has eagerly pursued, as he navigates national outrage over the brutal killings of two black men — one at the hands of police, the other at the hands of white […] Read more »