Protests have spread across the country in the week since George Floyd died after a Minneapolis police officer kneeled on his neck for more the eight minutes. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, FiveThirtyEight contributor Samuel Sinyangwe joins the crew to analyze the trends in police violence over […] Read more »
Live or virtual conventions? Texas parties may preview national split
Texas this week will preview the sharp divergence that may lie ahead as the Republican and Democratic parties grapple with the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on the 2020 election. The Texas Democratic Party has transformed its state convention this week into an entirely online event, complete with speeches from […] Read more »
Warren as Biden’s running mate makes no electoral sense
… Biden’s lead has stayed consistent, though the race is close enough that Trump could close the gap in the five months between now and the election. Biden may try to shore up his position through his vice presidential selection. A potential running mate who has gotten more attention recently […] Read more »
In Seeking to Hold Michigan, Trump Can Be His Own Worst Enemy
… Even before the coronavirus infected more than 56,000 residents and left it with the second-worst unemployment rate in the country, Michigan was shaping up to be the most difficult state for Mr. Trump to win a second time. Now his prospects there appear dimmer — in part because of […] Read more »
Biden’s in one of the best positions for any challenger since scientific polling began
A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden clearly ahead of President Donald Trump. Biden’s up by a 53% to 43% margin among registered voters in this survey. But it’s important to put individual polls into context, and that context continues to show Biden’s in one […] Read more »
Black Americans Have a Message for Democrats: Not Being Trump Is Not Enough
… Mr. Biden’s win in South Carolina was a turning point for his once-flailing campaign. His support came from across all demographics, but his particular strength was older black voters — people who said the community’s familiarity with and trust of Mr. Biden, combined with his perceived ability to beat […] Read more »