When an incumbent falls well behind in a reelection campaign, it is not uncommon for him to suffer through all kinds of indignities. When that incumbent has not played well with the other kids, those indignities can be greatly magnified, as President Trump is experiencing now. CONT. Charlie Cook The OPINION […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s iron grip on the GOP: Why Republicans stick with him
… Trump’s standing in nearly all public polls is eroding. He has inflamed racial tensions in the wake of the George Floyd killing. He’s endured unprecedented criticism from former military leaders. Yet Trump’s grip on the Republican Party remains so strong that only a handful of GOP elected officials have […] Read more »
Trump’s most loyal media ally promised a pro-Trump poll. It didn’t deliver.
… OAN is a small network, clearly seeking to make its name in part by promising endlessly obsequious coverage of the president. The network has often explicitly asked Trump to watch it instead of Fox, as chief executive Robert Herring did Wednesday. … Herring had on Wednesday pledged an upcoming […] Read more »
Forecasting the US elections
The Economist is analysing polling, economic and demographic data to predict America’s elections in 2020. … Right now, our model thinks Joe Biden is likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. CONT. The Economist The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful […] Read more »
Why Joe Biden Should Look to His Left
Joe Biden is the Democratic presidential nominee, and though the primary was, by historical standards, quite tepid, there is still a lot of work to be done on unifying the party. Many young Democrats are rightfully skeptical of Mr. Biden and his record on many issues that matter to them. […] Read more »
Biden is doing worse than Clinton among Hispanic voters
Joe Biden is reaching heights that Hillary Clinton never did this late in the campaign against Donald Trump. The former vice president holds a significant national lead of around 10 points and is over 50% support. Yet a look at recent polls suggests Trump is outperforming where he was four […] Read more »