History says Trump’s low approval rating is unlikely to move

… We’ve still got five months until the general election, which, in theory, is plenty of time for the race for president to change. Indeed, horserace polling has sometimes shifted considerably between this point and Election Day. Presidential approval ratings, however, haven’t historically moved much from June of an election […] Read more »

White evangelicals think Trump is divinely ordained. He’ll do almost anything to keep it that way

Donald Trump’s reelection chances are quite dim without the robust support of his white evangelical base. His electoral college win in 2016 was fueled by white evangelical turnout and the overwhelming number of white evangelicals — 81% — who pulled the lever for him. He cannot afford for the religious […] Read more »

State polls show clear shift toward Democrats since protests began

The gold standard Iowa Poll released Saturday night showed Democratic Senate candidate Theresa Greenfield with major momentum. … While it’s still early and things could change, this Iowa poll, conducted by Selzer & Co., is the latest state survey for either the race for the White House or Senate to […] Read more »

Faced With Crisis and Re-election, Senate Republicans Blame China

… Neil Newhouse, a leading Republican pollster, said that both private and public polling indicated that Americans, regardless of political affiliation, had markedly negative feelings toward China over issues including trade and technology theft. “It becomes an easy punching bag for politicians, both Republicans and Democrats,” he said in an […] Read more »