The share of the Democratic presidential vote in the Midwest declined most precipitously between 2012 and 2020 in counties that experienced the steepest losses in manufacturing and union jobs and saw declines in health care, according to a new report to be released this month. The party’s worsening performance in […] Read more »
The Texas Border Shift
Most of the country saw modest shifts in vote margin from 2016 to 2020. The Texas border stands out for the intensity and breadth of the pro-Republican shift. Miami is also attention getting, but here we focus on Texas. It isn’t that the Texas border counties gave majorities to Trump. […] Read more »
The survival of U.S. democracy may hinge on this decision by Pa.’s next governor
… Pennsylvania — the closest battleground state with the most electoral votes, where the election was called for Biden last November — is a powerful example of exactly what the Trump scheme to unwind American democracy looks like. In Harrisburg, Republican legislative leaders — after weeks of lobbying and browbeating […] Read more »
When Every Win Is a Landslide
… A month before the 2020 election, it sure looked like Democrats were headed for a big win, with considerable talk about a blue wave. Yet perhaps after hearing all the talk of about democratic socialism, Medicare-for-all, and the Green New Deal, some reconsidered their support for Democrats for the […] Read more »
Our constitutional crisis is already here
The United States is heading into its greatest political and constitutional crisis since the Civil War, with a reasonable chance over the next three to four years of incidents of mass violence, a breakdown of federal authority, and the division of the country into warring red and blue enclaves. The […] Read more »
21 million Americans say Biden is ‘illegitimate’ and Trump should be restored by violence, survey finds
Some Americans are looking past Joe Biden, seeking the return of Donald Trump as president. AP Photo/Julio Cortez Robert A. Pape, University of Chicago A recent Washington demonstration supporting those charged with crimes for the Jan. 6 insurrection at the U.S. Capitol fizzled, with no more than 200 demonstrators showing […] Read more »