As it has become more apparent that President Donald Trump faces a tough road to reelection, he has turned to old habits of offering incendiary rhetoric meant divide Americans and inflame racial tensions. Trump’s recent use of the term “Kung Flu” to describe the Coronavirus is only one of the […] Read more »
Biden Supporters Are More Worried About the Health Risks of Voting
Identifying likely voters is a challenge for pollsters in every election. This year, the coronavirus, mail voting and a surge in political engagement may make it even harder than usual. For now, Joe Biden’s nine-point lead across the critical battleground states is so significant that it is essentially invulnerable to […] Read more »
How The GOP Chose To Be A White Party
In general, the Republican Party gets between 5 and 10 percent of the Black vote and less than a third of the Hispanic vote nationally. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Clare Malone discusses the series of choices the GOP made, spanning decades, that made it an overwhelmingly […] Read more »
UT/Texas Politics Project poll finds Trump leading Biden by 4 in Texas
Going into a grim July 4 weekend defined by a resurgent COVID-19 in Texas, a new University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll finds most Texans acutely aware of the hobbled economy and a country limping along on the wrong track. Yet amidst this dark view of the trajectory of the […] Read more »
Trump’s on a losing streak with Republicans
President Donald Trump’s political strategy can be summed up in a simple phrase: It’s all about that base. He has shown little eagerness to reach out to the center, and he’s generally received strong support from Republicans. That’s why it’s perhaps surprising that Republican voters and lawmakers have been disagreeing […] Read more »
Cracks in the Republican Party establishment are getting bigger
Throughout Donald Trump’s chaotic, turbulent, and unconventional presidency the other leaders of the Republican Party have stood by him to a remarkable degree. … Early May saw some small cracks in that support, mostly among the Republican governors who did not side with Trump on re-opening up the economy early. […] Read more »