Donald Trump is running for the presidency of an America that no longer exists. Trump in recent weeks has repeatedly reprised two of Richard Nixon’s most memorable rallying cries, promising to deliver “law and order” for the “silent majority.” But in almost every meaningful way, America today is a radically […] Read more »
Trump’s handling of the coronavirus is the only election issue that matters
President Donald Trump keeps trying to change the subject. His Twitter feed and his rallies reveal an incumbent who probably doesn’t want this election to be about the one issue dominating all of our lives right now: the coronavirus. But make no mistake: Unless something changes dramatically, whichever candidate is […] Read more »
States of Play: Georgia
Key Points• Over the last few decades, Georgia has gone from a swing state to reliably GOP. But it’s now looking like a genuinely competitive state again.• Democrats have made major inroads in both urban Atlanta and its suburbs, but their gains have been somewhat blunted by the sharp Republican […] Read more »
This year’s Senate races spell disaster for the Republican Party
Republicans are beginning to gird themselves for a landslide defeat for President Trump that drags the entire party down. It could be even worse than they think. Elections in both the House and Senate are increasingly syncing with broader presidential races. In 2016, every Senate race was won by the […] Read more »
How United Are Democrats? A 96-0 Data Point Offers a Hint
Joe Biden has emerged from a contested Democratic primary with surprising party unity and without any serious threat on his left flank, according to New York Times/Siena College polls of the six battleground states likeliest to decide the presidency. Over all, voters in the battleground states who said Bernie Sanders […] Read more »
New July 2020 Electoral College Ratings
This election is looking more like a Democratic tsunami than simply a Blue wave. President Trump, mired in some of the lowest job approval ratings of his presidency, is trailing Biden by significant margins in key battleground states like Pennsylvania (8 points), Michigan (9 points), and Wisconsin (9 points). He’s […] Read more »