President Trump’s abysmal polling since the pandemic began is seriously jeopardizing down-ballot GOP fortunes. We may be approaching the point at which dozens of House Republicans will need to decide whether to cut the president loose and run on a “check and balance” message, offering voters insurance against congressional Democrats […] Read more »
There are signs Trump’s base is leaving him on the coronavirus
As Covid-19 rages in America, voters are giving President Donald Trump record low numbers on his coronavirus performance. Last week, we saw Trump score his worst ratings yet in an ABC News/Ipsos poll. This week he’s hit bottom in the NBC News/Wall Street Journal and Quinnipiac University polls. But perhaps […] Read more »
Even if the Polls Are Really Off, Trump Is Still in Trouble
With Joe Biden claiming almost a double-digit lead in national polls, one question still seems to loom over the race: Can we trust the polls after 2016? It’s a good question. But for now, it’s not as important as you might guess. If the election were held today, Mr. Biden […] Read more »
Trump Favorability Drops Among White College-Educated Americans
President Donald Trump’s favorability continues to trend downward. Less than four in ten (38%) Americans hold favorable views of Trump and nearly six in ten (59%) view him unfavorably. Trump’s current favorability is not significantly different from May (41% favorable, 55% unfavorable) or April (42% favorable, 54% unfavorable), but it […] Read more »
Battleground Poll: Diving deep on Joe Biden’s newest supporters
As Donald Trump continues his disastrous mishandling of the coronavirus pandemic and the ensuing economic collapse, responding to the ongoing crises with racism instead of science, many voters have reached their limit on how much more of Trump’s chaos they’re willing to take. Joe Biden has growing momentum in the […] Read more »
More Ways of Looking at the Electoral College Picture
For the last 36 years, the Cook Political Report has handicapped the Electoral College with our ratings chart — placing states and districts in categories of Toss Up, Lean, Likely and Solid Republican/Democrat. … We also realize that there are more dynamic ways to illustrate the electoral path to the […] Read more »