Key Points• Recently-released fundraising reports indicate a mismatch between the best-funded GOP candidates and the districts in which they are competing.• At this point, Democrats are more likely to net House seats than Republicans, although we’re still not expecting much net change overall.• There are eight rating changes this week: […] Read more »
Trump Is Determined to Split the Country in Two
New offensives against major cities from President Donald Trump and GOP governors are pushing at the central geographic fault line between the Republican and Democratic coalitions. On one front, Trump is taking his confrontational approach toward big cities to an ominous new level by deploying federal law-enforcement officials to Portland […] Read more »
Down In The Polls, Trump Pitches Fear: ‘They Want To Destroy Our Suburbs’
President Trump has a message for suburban voters. And it’s not a subtle one. “They want to destroy our suburbs,” Trump recently warned in a call with supporters. “People have worked all their lives to get into a community, and now they’re going to watch it go to hell,” he […] Read more »
Trump’s Remedy for Low Poll Numbers: Reminding People Polls Can Be Wrong
“I’m not losing,” President Trump insisted in an interview on Sunday with the Fox News anchor Chris Wallace after being presented with the cable network’s latest poll, which showed former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. with an eight-point advantage nationally. The president, who often promotes poll numbers when they […] Read more »
Right Direction/Wrong Track Numbers Tell the Story of the Election
… Continuity prevails when voters—or at least a critical mass of them—feel good about how the country is doing. Change wins out when a majority of voters are not happy. A chart put together by a Republican campaign consultant, who for obvious reasons would rather remain unnamed, measures this via […] Read more »
What two high-quality polls tell us about the presidential race
… There are a lot of professionally done polls out there, but over the years, I haven’t been hesitant to offer particularly kind words about the NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll and the Fox News poll. They tend not to jump around wildly, which is fine with me since, barring […] Read more »