Right now, our model thinks Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. CONT. The Economist The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
The polls show Biden is a clear favorite 100 days out from an unprecedented election
Believe it or not, we’re now 100 days and 15 hours from the 2020 election. As we enter the final stretch of the campaign, presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden continues to hold an advantage over President Donald Trump in the polls. A look at history reveals that while Biden’s clearly […] Read more »
Mining the Polls for Some Kernels of Hope for Trump
When a president or party is going through a really tough time, it’s easy for a political columnist to come across like a broken record, a constant stream of bad news that draws suspicions of bias. … So in the interest of fairness, let me state: The three major polls […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s suburban horror show
Donald Trump says Joe Biden wants to abolish the suburbs. But polls show a different truth: The suburbs want to abolish Donald Trump. If current numbers hold, the Republican Party will suffer its worst defeat in the suburbs in decades — with implications reaching far beyond November. It was in […] Read more »
Jason Stanley on the ‘ten pillars of fascist politics’ and media coverage of federal forces in Portland, Oregon
Yale University professor Jason Stanley, author of “How Fascism Works,” says he sees a fascist social and political movement taking hold in America’s democracy. In this conversation with Brian Stelter, Stanley says the Trump administration is “manufacturing dissent” by sending federal forces to Portland, Oregon and other cities. Stanley calls […] Read more »
Electoral College: Florida Moves From Toss Up to Lean Democrat
Given its track record in presidential campaigns over the last 20 years, it’s hard to think of Florida as anything other than a Toss Up. Since 2000, the winner of the state has never carried it by more than 5 points. In fact, in four of the last five presidential […] Read more »