The Pandemic Is Damaging the GOP Brand Everywhere

Although hardly any of the governors grappling with the fiercest coronavirus outbreaks are on the ballot this fall, voters’ verdicts about their performance loom heavily over another electoral battle with enormous implications for the balance of power between the parties over the next decade: the struggle for control of state […] Read more »

Trump in trouble as nearly two-thirds of Americans disapprove of his handling of COVID-19, protests, Russia

Nearly two-thirds of Americans disapprove of President Donald Trump’s handling of three major challenges facing the country — the coronavirus pandemic, nationwide unrest over racial inequality and relations with Russia — in a new ABC News/Ipsos poll, a sign of the obstacles that his reelection bid faces just three months […] Read more »

Democrats Are on Track to Win Decisive Battleground Suburbs They Lost in 2016

Democrats’ path to victory in 2020 requires strong majorities in cities and minimizing losses in rural stretches, but it hinges on performance in the suburbs. … To better understand the dynamics in these decisive places, Third Way used data from the analytics firm Catalist to estimate how many people are […] Read more »

Fueled By Suburbs, Democrats Are Poised For Gains In Key States, Analysis Finds

A new report from the centrist Democratic group Third Way, and shared first with NPR, finds that Democrats are on track to win the suburbs in five of six key states they lost in the 2016 presidential election. The analysis — which is based on voter-file data from the progressive-aligned […] Read more »

Trailing badly in polls, Trump points to ‘hidden’ voters and the ‘silent majority’ as path to victory

Trailing badly in the polls and with just over 95 days until the election, President Trump is banking on a questionable phenomenon to defy conventional wisdom and win reelection: the “hidden” Trump voter. The president has repeatedly touted a “silent majority” of Americans he expects to show up en mass […] Read more »