With less than 100 days remaining before the November 2020 presidential election, former Vice President Joe Biden has opened up a huge thirty-nine-point lead over President Donald Trump among likely voters in California. According to the latest Berkeley IGS Poll completed online in English and Spanish last week, 67% of […] Read more »
Despite Mask Wars, Americans Support Aggressive Measures To Stop COVID-19
With the national death toll from COVID-19 passing the grim 150,000 mark, an NPR/Ipsos poll finds broad support for a single, national strategy to address the pandemic and more aggressive measures to contain it. Two-thirds of respondents said they believe the U.S. is handling the pandemic worse than other countries, […] Read more »
It’s the Pandemic, Stupid! A Simplified Model for Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election
Key Points• Two factors that historically have been helpful in forecasting presidential elections — the power of incumbency and the state of the economy — may be less useful in this year’s election, both because of long-term changes in American politics and the current public health crisis.• A forecasting model […] Read more »
Disenchanted Seniors for Biden
… With fewer than 100 days until the election, the battle for America’s most reliable voting block is heating up. Beset by crises, President Trump is at risk of losing older voters, perhaps badly. Team Biden is eager to present these voters with a more comforting alternative. Older Americans vote. […] Read more »
Trump continues to lose ground in 2020 election as nation grapples with coronavirus
The national political landscape has clearly and significantly shifted in Joe Biden’s favor since he emerged as the Democratic Party’s presumptive nominee back in March just as the public health emergency was taking hold. … Based on public and private polling, where the campaigns are placing their strategic bets with […] Read more »
2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Trump Slides, Biden Advantage Expands Over 270 Votes
It’s hard to believe that the hole President Trump dug for himself could get deeper, but it has. A record and widening majority of Americans disapprove of the job he’s doing when it comes to handling the coronavirus pandemic; he gets poor scores on race relations; he’s seen a suburban […] Read more »