New surveys in three key battleground states show former Vice President Joe Biden with solid leads over President Donald Trump as both candidates head into their nominating conventions later this month. Biden’s advantage in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin is largely the result of consolidating the Democratic vote and attracting support […] Read more »
Trump Faces Eroding Support On Economy, Major Challenges with Independent, Suburban, Middle Class Voters
With a highly energized and polarized electorate, President Trump faces eroding support on the economy and with key demographic groups just 85 days until the election. These findings in the latest Georgetown Institute of Politics and Public Service Battleground Poll, conducted by Republican pollster Ed Goeas and Democratic pollster Celinda […] Read more »
New COVID Public Opinion Study Finds Increased Support for Vote By Mail
The sixth survey conducted by the multi-university COVID-19 Consortium for Understanding the Public’s Policy Preferences Across States, led in part by Shorenstein Center faculty Matthew Baum and Kennedy School Institute of Politics Polling Director John Della Volpe, found not only an increase in approval for vote by mail but also […] Read more »
Another electoral college-popular vote split? It’s possible
New CBS News/YouGov polls from Pennsylvania and Wisconsin seem to tell a familiar story. Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by six points among likely voters in both states (49% to 43% in Pennsylvania and 48% to 42% in Wisconsin). Biden’s advantages in those states are nothing […] Read more »
Biden leads in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania due to COVID concerns, country’s direction
Late on election night 2016, it was Wisconsin and Pennsylvania that put Donald Trump over the top and into the White House, thanks to late-deciding voters who went his way, and big margins among people who wanted change. Today, the vast majority of voters in these two states say things […] Read more »
Summer ad spending shows Trump in retreat, defense in key states
If you want to know what a campaign really thinks about its chances, you don’t listen to what it says, you watch where it puts its money. This week’s Data Download is looking at how the President Donald Trump and Joe Biden teams (and their main affiliated outside groups) have […] Read more »