Now that the two major party nominating conventions are over it looks like the overall strategic situation is unchanged. If the election were held today Donald Trump would lose. What can Trump do to narrow the gap enough to eke out a victory in the Electoral College? First, he can […] Read more »
‘I Fear That We Are Witnessing the End of American Democracy’
The center-right political coalition in America — the Republican Party as it stands today — can be described as holding two overarching goals: First, deregulation and reductions in corporate and other tax liabilities — each clearly stated on the White House website — and second, but packing a bigger punch, […] Read more »
Going Into the Convention, Republicans Focused on ‘Law and Order’
President Trump tonight is expected to put an emphasis on “law and order,” an issue that’s top of mind for Republicans. Heading into the GOP convention, our latest Battleground Tracker polling found Republicans’ top issues after the economy included policing and law enforcement issues, and the recent protests. CONT. Elena […] Read more »
Is Kenosha a Warning for the Biden Campaign?
On Wednesday night I remotely conducted two focus groups, one in North Carolina and one in Arizona. The demographics of the groups were the same. Both consisted of 2016 Trump voters. Both were composed of six white, college-educated women (those prized suburban women you hear so much about). And both […] Read more »
The Flight 93 Convention
In 2016, an anonymous author described the battle between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton as the “Flight 93 election.” In dark, urgent terms, the article argued that a Hillary Clinton victory would change America so irrevocably that conservatives needed to think of themselves as the passengers on United Airlines Flight […] Read more »
Positivity on Biden hits high after the DNC takes center stage
The Democratic National Convention took over the conversation surrounding the presidential race this week, and more Americans had positive things to say about the party’s nominee — former Vice President Joe Biden — than at any point in the last eight weeks. These findings come from The Breakthrough, a project […] Read more »