The political conventions over, Joe Biden now leads Donald Trump in the race for the White House by 50%-43%, the new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll finds. That seven-point advantage has narrowed from the 12-point edge he held in June. As Labor Day looms, launching the campaign’s final sprint, the survey […] Read more »
Biden Leads Trump in Latest Grinnell College National Poll
If the election were held today, the newest edition of the Grinnell College National Poll shows Joe Biden winning the popular vote in his quest to become to be the 46th President of the United States. Former Vice President Biden leads President Donald Trump 49-41% according to the poll, which […] Read more »
A Bounce Won’t Do It. Trump Needs a Post-Convention Vault.
The question on a lot of minds over the next week will be whether President Trump and Joe Biden enjoy the customary 5- or 6-point post-convention bounce. … Every time I walk through the data on this election, it just reinforces my view that while an incumbent in this deep […] Read more »
Trump is trying to grab some of Biden’s most valuable supporters
… So far this summer, Biden has polled spectacularly well in suburbs — even historically GOP ones in the Sun Belt — thanks to his strength among college-educated white voters. In an average of live-interview polls taken in August, Biden led Trump among that group 56 percent to 39 percent, […] Read more »
Trump has lost ground since 2016 among key groups, down 11 points against Biden
The new USC Dornsife Daybreak poll shows troubling signs for the candidacy of President Donald Trump and not just because he’s trailing his opponent by 11 points, 52% – 41%. The president has lost ground in many core demographic groups who voted for him in 2016, including men, people without […] Read more »
Biden’s GOP endorsements show the cracks in Trump’s coalition
Joe Biden is attracting more crossover endorsements from prominent members of the opposing party than any other presidential candidate from either side in decades. That doesn’t guarantee the former vice president victory in November, but history suggests it could signal a lasting break in the Republican coalition that provides new […] Read more »