Almost every analysis of the 2020 election says the same thing: Joe Biden has an advantage over President Trump, but data analysts such as me won’t go so far as to predict the ultimate winner outright. Public opinion could change! Trump could outperform his polls! The warnings we repeat are […] Read more »
Small majority of voters trust Trump to handle jobs & economy, but Biden leads on all other issues
One-third of all registered voters say jobs and the economy is their most important issue in deciding which presidential candidate to vote for, the latest USC Dornsife Daybreak poll shows. When asked which candidate they trust more to handle jobs and the economy, registered voters give President Donald Trump a […] Read more »
18 year old election forecaster on the need to engage young voters
Niles Edward Francis, contributor to election forecasting site, Decision Desk HQ, and an 18 year old from Georgia, joins MSNBC’s Craig Melvin to talk about how he got involved in politics and election forecasting at such a young age, what needs to be done to engage young voters this November, […] Read more »
Will white women without college degrees torpedo President Trump’s reelection?
Four years ago, white women without college degrees stood shoulder to shoulder with white non-college men even though it was the first time in history that a woman candidate for president headed a major party ticket. This year, however, they are breaking ranks. If Donald Trump loses the 2020 election, […] Read more »
2020 Has Quietly Become Another ‘Year of the Woman’
The entire House of Representatives and one-third of the Senate are up for election every two years. But congressional elections tend to lead the news only every other cycle, when there isn’t a concurrent presidential contest. James Madison may have believed that the “legislative authority necessarily predominates” over the executive, […] Read more »
Post-ABC Wisconsin poll shows Biden holding narrow edge over Trump
Former vice president Joe Biden holds a narrow edge in the key battleground state of Wisconsin as President Trump’s law-and-order message has so far failed to translate into significant support or change the dynamic of the race there, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. … Trump won the state […] Read more »