Almost every analysis of the 2020 election says the same thing: Joe Biden has an advantage over President Trump, but data analysts such as me won’t go so far as to predict the ultimate winner outright. Public opinion could change! Trump could outperform his polls! The warnings we repeat are true and important, but there’s a different way to think about the crucial weeks ahead. If you look to these critical dates below, you’ll be able to tell whether your preferred candidate is hitting his benchmarks in the polling. If not, and only then, give yourself permission to start panicking. CONT.
David Byler, Washington Post