Ohio Gov. John Kasich was among the big winners when Republican Troy Balderson apparently survived last week’s special election for a US House seat centered on Columbus. Kasich was also among the biggest losers. In the process, he encapsulated the puzzle facing the small band of Republicans consistently critical of […] Read more »
Immigration Is Not A Racially Divisive Issue for Voters in 2018
On election night 2016, as Donald Trump was confirmed the improbable winner, CNN analyst Van Jones declared the outcome to be, “…a whitelash against a changing country.” Our own analysis, and that of other scholars, confirm that voters’ attitudes on immigration in 2016 were highly polarized along partisan and ethno-racial […] Read more »
Young women: What’s on their minds as midterm elections approach?
Women ages 18-35, place a high priority on a candidate who shares their culture and values; it’s more important to them than party labels. They cite health care as their top issue in the 2018 election, with more calling it very important, compared to other issues. Most say they see […] Read more »
Young women: Age group of women most unhappy with Trump presidency
Women ages 18-35 feel the country is headed in the wrong direction, hold the most negative views of the Donald Trump’s presidency of any age group of women, and most believe his policies have had an adverse effect on women. More want to see Democrats take control of Congress than […] Read more »
After Ohio special election, even more districts may be in play
Sometimes a close loss can be as telling as a surprise win, as the political world saw in the special election in Ohio’s 12th congressional district last week. Democrats failed to capture the seat, but the party’s near-miss may reveal something about the size of the wave brewing in the […] Read more »
The White Strategy: Trump’s winning coalition and its weaknesses
In the aftermath of the 2012 election, when just about everyone assumed Mitt Romney lost because he didn’t win enough Hispanic votes, the election analyst Sean Trende produced a dissenting take. A close look at the results across the Midwest and Appalachia revealed a large population of what Trende called […] Read more »