For months now, the focus of Campaign 2018, rightly, has been on control of the House. All the metrics continue to point to a midterm election in which Democrats could seize control of that chamber. But for sheer drama and unpredictability, the contest for control of the Senate could be […] Read more »
Midterm Poll-iferation
Rack ‘em up! The Marist Poll and battleground state polling partner NBC News have completed a dozen state polls since the beginning of the summer. On tap this week – Missouri, Indiana, and Tennessee. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the team takes a close look at the dynamics […] Read more »
Will Trump’s Take on the Economy Resonate With Voters?
Today we’re talking about the economy. The two big questions: 1.) Everyone says the economy is doing great. Objectively, is that true? And 2.) If it is true, why aren’t the Republicans and President better positioned going into the midterms? CONT. Amy Walter, The Takeaway Read more »
2018 Targets in Trump’s GOP
The Trump presidency has created serious opportunities for agile progressives to target and deliver messages to a fractured and demoralized GOP. This is the conclusion of Democracy Corps’ new national online message test of 1,200 Republican registered voters, numerous Catalist voterfile matched phone surveys, and focus groups among the factions […] Read more »
A Grim Fall Awaits GOP
For over six months this column has suggested that this election amounts to a Democratic tidal wave crashing against a Republican seawall—the question is which will be stronger. At Labor Day, the traditional beginning of the general-election-campaign season, that continues to be the case, though how that dynamic manifests itself […] Read more »
Less than 1 in 5 trust Trump to tell the truth
A national USC Dornsife/Los Angeles Times poll finds voters are more likely to back Democrats in their district’s election for the United States House of Representatives, giving Democrats an 8 percentage point advantage over Republicans. … Just under 20 percent of the public nationwide considers Trump as a source of […] Read more »