Six weeks before the 2018 midterm elections, Democrats hold a 12-point lead in congressional preference among registered voters, with nearly six-in-10 saying they’d like to see significant change in the direction President Donald Trump has been leading the country, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. The […] Read more »
4 reasons why the Kavanaugh hearings have become a stalled tropical storm
All eyes — at least in Washington — are on the battle over confirming Judge Brett Kavanaugh to the U.S. Supreme Court. Sexual assault allegations against him have stalled his nomination in the Senate Judiciary Committee, where it waits like a stalled tropical storm, unable to reach the floor for […] Read more »
Brett Kavanaugh is the least popular Supreme Court nominee in 30 years
… A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds that 34% of Americans support the confirmation of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, while 38% are opposed. This poll is in line with a recent poll from Gallup in which 39% of Americans were for confirmation and 42% were opposed. … […] Read more »
America’s political pollsters could be missing the X factor in the 2018 elections — “hidden voters”
… The question that keeps emerging is who is not on pollsters’ 2018 radar. That matters greatly because between now and November’s vote, there will be a tsunami of horse race coverage delivered in authoritative tones. However, pollsters will tell you that their analyses are more vaporous; that they are […] Read more »
How to Read Midterm Polls
While Washington is obsessed with the Supreme Court nomination of Brett Kavanaugh, voters — Republicans and Democrats— are more concerned about the economy, says Democratic pollster Brad Bannon, who adds that the positive top-line numbers cloak Americans’ continuing economic fears. Shawn Zeller, CQ Read more »
Is Winning Women Enough for Democrats to Win the House?
It’s been beyond obvious for a while now that Republicans have a problem with female voters. Poll after poll have shown that white college-educated women, once a persuadable pool of voters, have abandoned the GOP. The most recent NBC/Wall Street Journal survey found that these women support a Democrat for […] Read more »