She is one California’s most recognizable politicians, an icon in the Democratic Party, and the second longest-serving U.S. senator in Golden State history. But a new poll is raising the volume of one of the most intriguing questions in political circles from here to Capitol Hill: Is Dianne Feinstein losing […] Read more »
Democrats Are Pulling Away in the Generic Ballot. What Does That Mean?
Despite all the unusual political events of the last few years, one thing in electoral politics is proceeding by the book: the growing Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot. … Although the size of the advantage seems startling, a Democratic edge on the generic ballot is not that much […] Read more »
Charlie Cook on Trump’s Job Approval, Tax Reform and the 2018 Elections
In this week’s episode, Charlie Cook, editor and publisher of the Cook Political Report, offers his take on the impact that the Alabama special election, Trump’s approval rating, the public’s view of the new tax reform law and other factors will have on the political landscape in 2018. Later, we […] Read more »
Wave Watch
This past May, I wrote a piece positing that the generic Congressional vote averages from surveys taken roughly until Memorial Day of the year preceding an election are not reliable indicators of a party’s performance in that election. Seven months later – and now less than 11 months from Election […] Read more »
The Double-Edged Sword of a Party-Line Victory
President Trump and congressional Republicans have just taken the same leap of faith that Democrats did when they passed the Affordable Care Act. When then-President Obama and the Democratic House and Senate majorities muscled through the ACA in 2010, the bill represented a big policy victory, but an even bigger […] Read more »
Democrats’ 2018 advantage expands
Democrats’ already wide advantage over Republicans in a hypothetical Congressional matchup has grown, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. At the same time, enthusiasm about voting next year has increased among Democrats nationwide following an unexpected win in Alabama’s Senate special election and a strong showing in […] Read more »