Earlier this week the Democratic SuperPAC Priorities USA released a memo that publicly acknowledged concerns that Democrats had been privately expressing for a couple weeks that Democrats lack a compelling economic narrative for 2018. … The Priorities memo, as well as other non-partisan polling, finds that the majority of Americans […] Read more »
What’s Behind Trump’s Rising Popularity?
It would be easy to read the headlines this week and conclude that the Trump administration is in even more trouble than normal. The White House still can’t get its story straight on Staff Secretary Rob Porter’s departure amid domestic-violence accusations. Chief of Staff John Kelly seems to be losing […] Read more »
Donald Trump’s culture war is running into the gender gap
With his sharp words in recent days defending men accused of sexual harassment and spousal abuse, President Donald Trump launched another firebomb into the cultural chasm running through his presidency. This new debate could expose Republicans in 2018 to a more widespread backlash among women — and a more pointed […] Read more »
Priorities USA: Democrats Must Keep Focus on Economy and Health Care
Democrats continue to hold an advantage over Republicans heading into the midterms but must reassert control over the economic narrative if they are going to maximize electoral success in House, Senate and governors’ races this fall. For much of the past year Democrats have debated Republicans on tax reform and […] Read more »
The 7 Governorships Republicans Could Pick Up This Year
Democrats have a great chance at picking up gubernatorial seats in November — but that doesn’t mean they won’t need to defend a few of their own. Last week, we showed why polls of governors races released so far should be taken with a grain of salt. This early in […] Read more »
A House forecast holds good news for Democrats
We’re far enough into the 2018 midterm election cycle that we have some sense of what the fundamentals of the political environment that will govern it look like. A pretty simple forecast model that relies on economic performance and presidential popularity predicts Democrats will pick up 45 to 50 House […] Read more »