There shouldn’t be much doubt that the Democrats are riding a wave heading into November’s midterm elections. That was clear well before Conor Lamb’s apparent victory in Pennsylvania last week. There have been nearly 100 special elections over the last year, and at this point there’s so much evidence of […] Read more »
For Trump And The GOP: Warning Signs in the Middle Suburbs
Donald Trump’s road to the White House was complicated, but it went directly through the Middle Suburbs, a collection of blue-collar suburban counties heavily based in the Industrial Midwest. Now a combination of polling data and election results suggests those communities have lost their enthusiasm for President Trump and Republicans. […] Read more »
Democrats hold double-digit lead for 2018 midterm elections
Democrats enjoy a 10-point advantage over Republicans in congressional preference for the 2018 midterm elections, even as President Donald Trump’s job approval rating has ticked up, the latest national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll finds. … Also in the poll, the most popular political figures and institutions are the Federal […] Read more »
NBC/WSJ Poll shows trouble for GOP in key suburban districts
President Donald Trump’s job approval is up to 43 percent in the latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll, but Republicans are seeing their 2018 prospects worsen. The poll shows people favor Democratic control of Congress by 10 points – 50 percent to 40 percent – up 6 points from last […] Read more »
What Happened in Pennsylvania’s 18th and What It Means for Democrats in November
… This post offers a quick rundown of the data in PA-18 and speculates about the consequences for Republicans in November. How did Lamb win? What does that mean for the 2018 midterms? First, the obvious. Pennsylvania’s 18th Congressional district is ruby red — or so we thought. Donald Trump […] Read more »
Conor Lamb Ran as a Change Agent in PA-18. So Are Lots of Other Democrats
A lot of ink has been spilled and much TV airtime has been cluttered with opinions and analysis of the PA-18 special election. Some good. Some bad. Some ridiculous and overblown. I’m not interested in rehashing or debunking all of it. Nor do I think it’s healthy to read too […] Read more »