Last year, as a wave of special elections popped up, every smart Democrat wanted to focus on one seat. “Watch the special election for Tom Price’s seat in suburban Atlanta,” Rep. Sean Maloney (D-N.Y.) said in an interview in February 2017. … However, the more telling special elections might have […] Read more »
Trump’s Role in Midterm Elections Roils Republicans
President Trump is privately rejecting the growing consensus among Republican leaders that they may lose the House and possibly the Senate in November, leaving party officials and the president’s advisers nervous that he does not grasp the gravity of the threat they face in the midterm elections. Congressional and party […] Read more »
The Nevada Senate race shows that demographics are not destiny
There has been a belief among some Democrats that the combination of non-white voters being overwhelmingly Democratic and the fact that they are becoming a larger portion of the electorate means that Democrats may be heading toward some sort of electoral glory. This increase in diversity is a comfort to […] Read more »
Why I’m Cautious About Phil Bredesen’s Prospects in Tennessee
Two early surveys show former Tennessee Gov. Phil Bredesen, a Democrat, holding a lead over Republican Rep. Marcia Blackburn in hypothetical ballot tests of this year’s Senate race. Those polls, along with kind words about Bredesen from retiring Tennessee GOP Sen. Bob Corker, have raised the contest’s profile and heightened […] Read more »
If Democrats Are Doing so Great, Why Don’t They Have a Bigger Lead on Generic Ballot?
Every day, it seems, another warning light goes off on the GOP’s dashboard, a blinking reminder of their ensuing troubles for 2018. There are a record number of GOP retirements — including that of House Speaker Ryan. Democratic challengers are outraising GOP incumbents. And, of course, there’s the most recent […] Read more »
What to Keep in Mind When Thinking About the Midterms
With less than 200 days until the midterm elections, Democrats are generally thought to have a slight advantage in the fight for control of the House. That doesn’t mean they are going to prevail. The polls could be wrong, as all should understand by now, and there’s more than enough […] Read more »