President Donald Trump became the first Republican presidential nominee to carry Pennsylvania since 1988. Doing so helped him secure victory nationally. On Tuesday, the first major statewide elections since 2016 take place in the Keystone State, and the Pennsylvania electorate looks to be in a far different mood. The state […] Read more »
Politics Podcast: Partisanship Is A Hell Of A Drug
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast team discusses the role that partisanship will play in the midterms. It’s the first installment in a new series that we’re calling “Priors,” a look at the fundamental forces that shape and shift U.S. elections. The team also looks ahead to Tuesday’s primaries and assesses Americans’ […] Read more »
CATS Roundtable: President Trump, the GOP brand and the midterm elections
John Catsimatidis speaks with Republican pollster John McLaughlin about President Trump, the GOP brand and the midterm elections. Read more »
Trying for House Gains, Democrats Bless Moderates and Annoy Liberals
… In a string of important races across the country, national Democrats have been embracing recruits near the political center, hoping they will give the party the chance to compete in states like Utah and Kansas where a liberal Democrat might stand little chance of winning. About a dozen crucial […] Read more »
Where Democrats agree on campaign messages — and their big division
Democrats know what they don’t want their candidates to talk about: President Trump’s scandals. They also know that they need to focus on GOP lawmakers’ votes for Trump’s agenda. They’re less unified on an agenda for the party. … House and Senate Democrats have already staked out their “Better Deal” […] Read more »
Glimmers of Hope for the GOP
With the midterm elections less than six months away, the question seems to be whether we are at a new transition point. Last fall, when Election Day was a year out, President Trump’s job-approval-rating averages seemed mired in the high 30s, with Republicans behind on the generic congressional ballot test […] Read more »