The 73rd annual conference of the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) is underway in Denver, Colorado. In this episode of Poll Hub, special guest Randy Brown joined us from the conference to discuss the focus of his latest research. Brown, Vice President of Edison Research, explained how Edison’s […] Read more »
The Republican Party’s Generational Bet
Representative Martha McSally, the establishment favorite for the Republican Senate nomination in Arizona, took the unusual step this week of removing her name as a co-sponsor of legislation to provide a path to citizenship for the so-called “Dreamers,” young people brought to the U.S. illegally by their parents. … McSally’s […] Read more »
The Democrats’ Drive for 25 in the House: An Update
In early February, we sketched out a potential path to a Democratic House majority. We called it the “Drive for 25,” in reference to the Democrats’ branding of their unsuccessful attempt to win the House in 2012. Three and a half months later, we thought we’d revisit this possible Democratic […] Read more »
The Numbers Say Dems Still Have an Edge—But Not a Huge One
In both life and politics, things aren’t always quite as straightforward and tidy as we would like. There can be a general agreement on the direction something is headed, but not necessarily on the degree. A month ago this column looked at dueling high-quality polls—one for ABC News and The […] Read more »
Will Democrats Win The House This November?
It’s the thick of primary season, and the looming question that hangs over the 2018 midterms is — will Democrats take control of Congress? NPR has reported on elements of potential answers to that question and shown some reasons for Republicans to find shelter — from the record number of […] Read more »
Modern-day ‘Class Consciousness’ and ‘Class Resentment’
… There is, of course, tremendous resistance among social scientists and historians to the idea that American white workers can be said to have anything like a “class consciousness” at all. While it is considered acceptable to use the term to describe, for example, the attitudes of British working class […] Read more »