Justice Anthony Kennedy announced on Wednesday that he is retiring from the U.S. Supreme Court, creating a vacancy that President Trump will have the chance to fill. FiveThirtyEight contributor Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux joins Nate Silver on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast to react to the news. They discuss what it means for […] Read more »
Initial Thoughts in the Aftermath of Crowley’s Defeat
In the biggest surprise of 2018 so far, House Democratic Caucus Chair Joe Crowley (NY-14) lost his primary to 28-year-old former Bernie Sanders organizer Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, 58 percent to 42 percent. Ocasio-Cortez, a Democratic Socialist who favors abolishing ICE, is now a lock to represent the Queens and Bronx seat. […] Read more »
Are Democrats Ready to Make Immigration an Issue in the Midterms?
Nitroglycerine. That’s how one long-time political strategist recently explained the politics of immigration to me. It’s one of those issues, he said, that can just as easily explode in your face as it can blow up the other side. Right now, it looks like the Trump administration is juggling bottles […] Read more »
Battleground state polls find more voters prefer Congress as a check on Trump
Voters in three key Senate battleground states prefer the next Congress to be a check on President Donald Trump rather than a booster for his policy priorities, and only about a third say Trump deserves to be re-elected, according to new polls of Arizona, Florida and Ohio conducted by NBC […] Read more »
What Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s victory says about the Democratic Party and 2020
Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s upset of Rep. Joe Crowley in New York’s 14th District’s Democratic primary is sending shockwaves through Washington. A lot of people are asking how she pulled it off. Like many shocking victories, there probably isn’t one cause. But a number of the different factors that likely catapulted […] Read more »
Two-thirds of Voters Say a Candidate’s Position on Pre-existing Conditions is Important to their Vote
About two-thirds (65%) of voters say a candidate’s support for continued protections for people with pre-existing health conditions is either the “single most important factor” or “very important” to their vote in the upcoming midterms elections, finds the latest Kaiser Family Foundation tracking poll. CONT. Kaiser Family Foundation Read more »