The selection of Brett Kavanaugh for the Supreme Court will have less of an impact on November’s midterms than you think. Sure, depending how the confirmation process develops, it’s possible the nomination could affect a handful of races, but the most likely scenario will not change the overall trajectory of […] Read more »
Democrats Risk Overreach on Immigration
… Does Trump doubling-down to placate his base mean that it is good policy or politics for the Left to do the same? The “Abolish ICE” rhetoric to protest Trump policies brings to mind another old saying, often attributed to the Rolling Stones’s Mick Jagger as well as to Navy […] Read more »
How to Interpret 2018 Polls Without Fooling Yourself
This morning, many political junkies, bleary-eyed from staying up to watch and then ponder the president’s SCOTUS Reality Show last night, were greeted with this tweet from the CEO of Axios: 🚨 Brutal poll: Democrats’ Senate dream slips away https://t.co/bXZ4wiwqn5 — Jim VandeHei (@JimVandeHei) July 10, 2018 The full Axios […] Read more »
How Trump’s trade war with China could go sideways on him
President Trump is a man who judges his successes by anecdote — both real and embellished. But his trade war is turning the anecdotes against him, and there are growing signs of trouble, even as the war officially began Friday. A poll conducted by The Washington Post and the Schar […] Read more »
2018 may have the largest gender gap on record
… President Donald Trump has a history of making vulgar remarks about women (such as in the infamous Access Hollywood tape). On Thursday, he poked fun at the #MeToo movement. Comments like these are why it’s not too surprising that the 2016 presidential election featured the largest gender gap on […] Read more »
Trump and women: The big disconnect in American politics
The disconnect between President Trump and female voters is serious and not getting better. That’s a potentially big problem for Republicans in the November elections — but only if the women opposed to the president turn out to vote. Trump’s election divided an already fractured country, deepening the red-blue chasm […] Read more »