Senate: Gaming Out Kavanaugh’s Confirmation

… There are two ways of looking at the process of confirming a Supreme Court nominee: through the eyes of each party, or through the eyes of individual Senators. When it comes to Kavanaugh’s confirmation, Republicans’ task is pretty straightforward. They need to guide the nominee through individual meetings with […] Read more »

Trump & GOP Strategy Make Blue Wave More Likely: The Evidence

Pundits built a new conventional wisdom that included higher job approval ratings for President Donald Trump due to the tax cuts and strong economy that could shrink the enthusiasm advantage and midterm vote for Democrats. But they are wrong about the political trends, the economy, and what motivates Democrats. They […] Read more »

No, Democrats Aren’t Ruining Their Midterm Chances

Will Democratic gains in the November midterm elections be squandered by an inopportune bout of party infighting? … Political commentators often suggest that national parties maximize their electoral effectiveness when they push a single policy program or message. But the Democratic Party is organized as a coalition of social groups […] Read more »