The Democratic wins in the Georgia Senate runoffs this week ensured President Donald Trump’s place in electoral history. While much has been written about Trump’s ability to pull off electoral victories in spite of conventional wisdom, the actual record shows something considerably different. The Trump-led Republican Party suffered historic losses […] Read more »
Why Supreme Court politics in 2020 look way different from 2016 or 2018
… President Donald Trump was likely helped in the 2016 election by the fight over a Supreme Court nomination. Similarly, Republicans were likely aided in the 2018 Senate battle by the nomination and eventual confirmation of Justice Brett Kavanaugh. We don’t know what the ultimate effect of any Supreme Court […] Read more »
Democrats Made Gains From Multiple Sources in 2018 Midterm Victories
Compared with Hillary Clinton’s 2-point popular vote advantage over Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential election, the Democratic Party expanded its margin over the Republican Party to 9 points in votes cast for the U.S. House of Representatives in 2018, a gain of 7 percentage points. This increased support was […] Read more »
How do Americans react when warned that other countries are meddling in U.S. elections?
Three countries are trying to influence the November elections in the United States: China, Russia and Iran, William Evanina warned earlier this month. Evanina is the director of the U.S. National Counterintelligence and Security Center. Just two years ago, a U.S. Director of National Intelligence report warned that those three […] Read more »
Our Polling Trauma
The brain learns in different ways. Mastering French verbs requires repetition. A single distressing experience, however, can impart a lasting lesson in moments; a car crash survivor, for instance, might come away with a deep fear of riding in cars. A lesson like that is hard to unlearn, even if […] Read more »
I Ran Stacey Abrams’s Campaign. Black Voters Powered Us to Near Victory.
… Something nearly unthinkable happened in Georgia in 2018. More black voters, more Asian-American/Pacific Island voters and more Latino voters turned out than in the 2016 presidential election. Sure, turnout was up everywhere and at presidential levels in many states. But Georgia was the only state where midterm turnout was […] Read more »