It seems like we’re overdue for another round of “is the presidential race tightening?” And the answer isn’t totally clear. Our model thinks Donald Trump has probably narrowed his deficit against Clinton slightly, but the difference is modest enough that we’ve wanted to change our answer with every new round […] Read more »
Undecided Voters Face Grim Choice as Divisive Presidency Looms
The most disliked pair of presidential candidates in modern American history are limping towards the finish line amid persistent negativity from voters, and the winning candidate’s reward for victory will almost certainly be a largely pessimistic reception from a mistrustful public. A focus group of undecided and recently decided voters […] Read more »
Clinton Holds 9 Point Lead in New Hampshire; Tied in Nevada
Democrat Hillary Clinton has jumped out to a nine-point lead in the battleground state of New Hampshire, while she’s tied with Republican Donald Trump in Nevada, according to two new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Follow the leader
We think of “follow the leader” as a rather inane children’s game. It’s much more than that. In an adult version, it describes how many partisans go about deciding their views on public issues — they follow the course charted by the leader of their party or the party itself. […] Read more »
Harvard Youth Poll: Clinton in commanding lead over Trump
A new national poll of America’s 18 to 29 year olds by Harvard’s Institute of Politics (IOP), at the John F. Kennedy School of Government, finds Hillary Clinton leading Donald Trump by 28%. Clinton captured 49% of likely young voters’ support while Trump received 21% in a four-way race. Gary […] Read more »
A Dead Heat for Congress, Despite Clinton’s Advantage
Hillary Clinton’s lead in the presidential race is no longer in the double digits in the latest ABC News tracking poll, and there are signs of vote splitting that could help down-ballot Republicans. CONT. Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »