We thought the signs pointed to Hillary Clinton winning the White House. We thought that even if she lost Florida, North Carolina, and Ohio, her Midwestern “firewall” of states that not only had voted for Barack Obama twice, but hadn’t voted for a Republican since the 1980s, would hold for […] Read more »
What Just Happened: Majority Of Election Night Voters Agree with Trump’s Core Populist Message
In an Election Night Poll of 800 actual voters conducted by Public Opinion Strategies last night we asked voters whether they agree or disagree with the following statement: “The economic and political systems in the country are stacked against people like me.” Voters were pretty split with 50% agreeing and […] Read more »
Trump’s Victory and the Rise of White Populism
It will take weeks or months to fully parse Donald J. Trump’s upset presidential victory, but his campaign was driven, at least in part, by the dramatic rise of a new kind of white populism. … I have spent the past year investigating the rise of that new kind of […] Read more »
US pollsters’ failure to forecast Trump victory is a ‘massive, historical, epic disaster’
The British academic who led an official review into how pollsters failed to forecast the result of the 2015 general election said their’ failure to predict Donald Trump’s clear victory is a “massive disaster” for the polling industry which is “high up the Richter scale”. CONT. Christopher Hope, The Telegraph Read more »
Trump Did Better With Blacks, Hispanics Than Romney in ’12: Exit Polls
Donald Trump performed stronger among black and Hispanic voters than Mitt Romney did as the Republican nominee in 2012, according to NBC Exit Polls. Tuesday’s exit poll results have not yet been finalized but so far they show Trump outmatching Romney by two points in each voting bloc. CONT. Amanda […] Read more »
How could the polling be so wrong?
The signs of a polling disaster were all there, but almost no one besides Donald Trump was paying attention. CONT. Steven Shepard, Politico Read more »