Hillary Clinton’s presidential campaign and the Republican National Committee had one thing in common toward the end of this election season: They both predicted that the former Secretary of State would win between 300 and 350 Electoral College votes on Election Day. But according to data journalist and Wall Street […] Read more »
There Were No Purple States On Tuesday
… Every state that elected a Republican candidate for Senate voted for Trump, and every state that elected a Democratic Senate candidate voted for Clinton. The 2016 Senate elections were the most nationalized ever. The amount of straight-ticket voting was unusual even for the highly polarized era we live in. […] Read more »
Trump Was Stronger Where The Economy Is Weaker
Donald Trump performed best on Tuesday in places where the economy is in worse shape, and especially in places where jobs are most at risk in the future. … In the months leading up to Tuesday’s vote, experts debated how much Trump’s support was driven by economic anxiety or by […] Read more »
The Clinton Loss
Even though Hillary Clinton is likely the popular vote winner nationally, Clinton did NOT get what she needed with minorities, leaving millions of votes on the table with African-Americans and Hispanics who were there four years ago for President Obama’s re-election. And, President-elect Donald Trump actually did marginally worse with […] Read more »
Deciphering election polling, from algorithms and youth votes to the Electoral College
The outcome of the 2016 general election in the United States was momentous and surprising. Yet some commentaries seem to suggest that means we need to rethink our basic understandings of voters and elections. I disagree, albeit gently, with that kind of hyperbole. Here’s why. CONT. Laura Stoker, Berkeley Read more »
The Rage of White, Christian America
Between Barack Obama’s 2008 election and 2016, America has transformed from being a majority white Christian nation (54 percent) to a minority white Christian nation (43 percent). But on Election Day, paradoxically, this anxious minority swarmed to the polls to elect as president the candidate who promised to “make America […] Read more »