Hillary Clinton didn’t just win the popular vote. She won it by a substantial margin. By the time all the ballots are counted, she seems likely to be ahead by more than 2 million votes and more than 1.5 percentage points, according to my Times colleague Nate Cohn. She will […] Read more »
84% Accept Trump as Legitimate President
After Donald Trump’s surprise defeat of Hillary Clinton in the highly contentious 2016 presidential campaign, 84% of Americans say they accept Trump as the legitimate president, but 15% do not. Among Clinton voters, 76% accept Trump and 23% do not. CONT. Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup Read more »
Trump Victory Surprises Americans; 4 in 10 Afraid
Americans on both sides of the 2016 presidential race are reacting strongly to Donald Trump’s victory Tuesday: 80% of Trump voters say they are “excited,” while 76% of Hillary Clinton voters say they are “afraid.” A large majority (75%) share one reaction: surprise. CONT. Jim Norman, Gallup Read more »
In record numbers, Latinos voted overwhelmingly against Trump. We did the research.
What can we learn about the 2016 election from the Latino Decisions Election Eve Poll (about which more below)? Two things stand out. On Nov. 8, Latino turnout was up significantly compared with 2012. And Latinos gave a substantial share of their votes — we estimate 79 percent — to […] Read more »
The Left After Trump
… Trump won because he managed to peel away enough working class white voters while retaining the middle-class and rural Republican base. A classic pattern of support for right-wing populism follows the shape of a V-curve with most support coming from either end of the political spectrum: the relatively deprived […] Read more »
Things Poll Apart
“It was around 9:20 p.m. when conventional wisdom died,” wrote the Wall Street Journal’s Neil King on election night. That was the moment when the New York Times’s website began projecting that a Donald Trump victory was more likely than not, and it became abundantly obvious that the presidential polls […] Read more »