Center-left parties in America and Europe are struggling. They are struggling for three reasons: First, they have failed to offer a credible response to the period of prolonged income stagnation and growing inequality; second, they have become part of the political-business-elite accommodation that the public views as corrupt; and third, […] Read more »
Party Trumped Policy in 2016
President Donald Trump adopted a variety of controversial and unorthodox foreign policy stances during the 2016 presidential campaign. Since taking office, Mr. Trump has moved quickly to begin implementing many of these policies – including a border wall with Mexico, a ban on immigration from certain majority-Muslim countries, and withdrawal […] Read more »
God, the Super Bowl, and President Trump
… One-quarter (25%) of Americans believe God plays a role in determining the outcome of sporting events. … In comparison, more than one-quarter (28%) of Americans believe God played a major role in determining the outcome of the 2016 election. … Close to half (45%) of Republicans believe God intervened to […] Read more »
The Biggest Losers in Trump’s Potential Trade War
If Donald Trump’s aggressive moves on the international economy spark a trade war, the American communities that will lose the most in absolute terms are the giant metropolitan areas, largely along the two coasts, that are most deeply integrated into global markets. But in proportional terms, the biggest losers from […] Read more »
The 2016 Presidential Vote: A Look Down in the Weeds
If Hillary Clinton had won the presidency — and she took the popular vote by nearly 3 million — the narrative of the 2016 election would be far different. Rather than the storyline being Donald’s Trump triumph in the heartland, with its beleaguered blue-collar workers, the emphasis now would be […] Read more »
Learning from voter survey experiments
Leading up to the November election, AP worked with GfK Custom Research and the National Opinion Research Center at the University of Chicago to examine new ways to survey voters. One study, designed by NORC and funded by the Knight Foundation, explored the opportunities and challenges of using smartphones to […] Read more »