Will Republicans take the Senate? The answer will hinge in part on the race between Sen. Kay Hagan and State House Speaker Thom Tillis in North Carolina. … Paradoxically, the policy successes of North Carolina Republicans could be a blessing in disguise for Kay Hagan. Because the GOP controls North […] Read more »
Three in 10 Voters Say They Will Vote to Oppose Obama
Three in 10 registered voters say when they vote for a candidate in the fall midterm elections, it will be to send a message that they oppose U.S. President Barack Obama, equal to the amount who said this before the Republican wave election of 2010. Nearly a quarter, 24%, say […] Read more »
Senate race in N.C. sets the stage for 2016 presidential competition
North Carolina is this year’s ground zero in American politics. There are other highly competitive races around the country, but no contest so neatly captures all the conflicting currents of ideology, money, demographics and political tactics as the one between Sen. Kay Hagan (D) and her newly nominated Republican challenger, […] Read more »
Why you shouldn’t trust internal polls
… Over the past two and a half weeks, both Mike Rounds and Rick Weiland have released polls conducted on behalf of their campaign. … Neither poll released the full question order, nor the cross-tabs. The former especially is vital to judging the accuracy of a poll, because it’s well-established […] Read more »
Democrats, uncurb your enthusiasm
… The Democrats’ core problem in recent congressional elections has been simple: Their voters don’t show up. … Overcoming that gap is the great challenge for Democrats this year, which is why they’ve launched an audacious strategy that, if it works, could change the way future congressional campaigns are waged. […] Read more »
Young Voters in 2014 May Be Less Democratic-Leaning Than in 2010 And 2012
Republicans have had a problem with young voters over the past few elections. … That’s why Democrats are hoping to get more young people — who are less likely to vote in midterm elections – to vote in midterm elections. Yet, early polling suggests that even if Democrats are successful […] Read more »