With immigration reform legislation stalled in Congress and the 2014 midterm elections rapidly approaching, more than six-in-ten Americans continue to support a path to citizenship, a new survey finds. When asked how the immigration system should deal with immigrants currently living in the country illegally, 62 percent of Americans favor […] Read more »
The Mississippi Gamble
Over the last few weeks, it has been hard to watch six-term Sen. Thad Cochran fight for political survival in Mississippi’s Republican primary without thinking of some of the lyrics from Kenny Rogers’s song “The Gambler.” In the second stanza, we hear an old-timer say, “Son, I’ve made a life […] Read more »
Limited Perils for Obama’s Carbon Plan?
The Obama administration’s proposal this week to cut carbon emissions from power plants by 30% by 2030 was portrayed as a bold move by the White House. But by political standards, it doesn’t look like it will have strong negative consequences for the president or his party. CONT. Dante Chinni […] Read more »
Impact of the ACA on the 2014 Congressional Elections
Despite the varying news climate over time, attitudes about the Affordable Care Act (ACA) have been remarkably stable. National surveys from NBC/WSJ, Kaiser Family Foundation, and Washington Post-ABC News consistently show that voters have a net negative opinion about the health care law regardless of the scale used to measure […] Read more »
It’s Not Too Soon to Pay Attention to Senate Polling
Just five months until November’s midterm elections and already early polling results have countered some expectations. In Arkansas, the Democrat Mark Pryor is showing surprising strength in a red state, and in North Carolina, Kay Hagan is trailing as an incumbent in a battleground state. We won’t know how accurate […] Read more »
Conversation with Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn, who covers polling for The Upshot/New York Times, joins us for a great discussion of their new forecasting model, LEO, and which party might win control of the U.S. Senate. CONT. Political Wire Read more »