Just five months until November’s midterm elections and already early polling results have countered some expectations. In Arkansas, the Democrat Mark Pryor is showing surprising strength in a red state, and in North Carolina, Kay Hagan is trailing as an incumbent in a battleground state. We won’t know how accurate polling is until after the election, so for now, the very relevant question is, How much should we care about early polls? CONT.
Nate Cohn & Josh Katz, New York Times