This survey, the second Resurgent Republic survey in this election cycle, polled 1000 likely 2014 voters in twelve U.S. Senate battleground states, with respondents evenly distributed among the states just as U.S. Senate seats are distributed. … The political environment in these twelve states tilts strongly toward the Republicans. Several […] Read more »
Kaiser Health Policy News Index: June 2014
Reports about long waiting times for those seeking care at some Veterans Affairs (VA) medical facilities captured a significant share of the public’s attention this month. Over six in ten (62 percent) report following the story “very” or “fairly” closely, making it the most closely followed health policy story so […] Read more »
A Court Ruling That Both Sides Can Run With
… Democrats have spent hundreds of millions of dollars in the last several years to cast Republicans as callous and extreme on women’s health issues. And party strategists believe their ability to hold on to the Senate this year depends in large part on persuading women that a Republican Senate […] Read more »
Economic Pessimism Is Bigger Threat to Democrats
Among the most intractable problems for Democrats this cycle is the drop-off problem. Simply put, Democratic base voters (unmarried women, younger people, and minorities), don’t show up to vote in mid-terms. Meanwhile, the GOP base – namely older, white voters – do. There’s now a steady amount of evidence that […] Read more »
Challenges Are Many in Predicting House Races
… Pollsters can’t afford to survey each of the 435 House races. Instead they partly rely on a “generic ballot” question, which asks respondents whether they will vote for the unnamed Republican candidate for the House of Representatives in their district, or for the unnamed Democratic candidate. While individual polls […] Read more »
Republicans: ‘Thank God for Mississippi!’
… Mississippi, a state often ignored by the national political world, managed to do something rarely seen in politics: Produce two upsets in the same race in a three-week span. And it bucked a trend of generally pathetic turnout in primaries nationwide to produce the second and then first-largest primary […] Read more »