Back in the 2002 and 2004 elections, we heard a lot about so-called “Security Moms.” Once focused almost exclusively on domestic issues like education, crime, and the economy, the priorities of these “Soccer Moms” shifted in the wake of the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. Instead of pocketbook issues, they […] Read more »
How Awful Will It Be?
In bad midterm-election years, members of a president’s party often find the political climate challenging. In some ways, it is like a swimmer encountering riptides or facing strong undertows. The degree of the danger varies from location to location, and in many cases, weak swimmers struggle in this environment; occasionally, […] Read more »
Wide Partisan Differences Over the Issues That Matter in 2014
Heading into the final weeks before the midterm elections, Republican and Democratic voters are split not only over their candidate preferences, but also about the importance of key issues in the election. CONT. Pew Read more »
Fox News poll: GOP has advantage in upcoming midterm election
American voters disagree with President Obama that the economy is in better shape today than in 2008. Most are unhappy with ObamaCare. And optimism about the future of the country is down. With only 54 days until Election Day, these sentiments are pretty well baked into the cake — boosting […] Read more »
Why Dem voters may not show up this fall
Countless pixels have been expended on the Democrats’ “midterm drop-off problem,” in which core Democratic groups such as young voters, minorities and single women are expected to go to the polls in lower percentages than GOP groups, putting Dem control of the Senate in peril. What if a key part […] Read more »
What Is a Wave in the Senate?
For several months, we’ve held steady on our range of expected gains for Republicans in the Senate: a net of four to eight seats. With Labor Day in the rearview mirror and with less than 55 days to go until the midterms, we’re giving Republicans a slight bump: Our new […] Read more »