Some Democrats are giddy that the Tea Party provocateur and four-term incumbent Michele Bachmann has announced her intention to retire from Congress — but her decision may allow Republicans to avoid a toss-up race in what would otherwise be a reasonably safe district for the G.O.P. [cont.] Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight […] Read more »
No, it’s not a push poll
Republicans are crying foul over a Public Policy Polling survey that finds Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) and Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes tied in a hypothetical 2014 Senate matchup. Two things are true: 1. McConnell is probably not as vulnerable as this poll might suggest. 2. […] Read more »
This Is Not 2009
With the scent of scandal encircling the White House, some Republicans are already licking their chops over the 2014 midterm elections, while some Democrats are pre-emptively licking their wounds. Not so fast, folks. Retract those tongues. While it is impossible to predict what might drive voter attitudes in an election […] Read more »
Most back ‘path to citizenship,’ setting up tough choice for GOP lawmakers
Comprehensive immigration reform will now move to the Senate floor in June with solid overall support from the public. But a bare majority of Republican voters oppose a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants. Most of those against the idea say they won’t back congressional candidates who are supportive […] Read more »
Can A Polarized America Help Obamacare?
In America the Polarized, almost every issue is viewed through a partisan lens. The most recent trio of troubles to hit the White House–IRS, Benghazi, and DOJ–has elicited predictably partisan feelings. … The question now is whether this deep-seated polarization may help Democrats survive what many expect to be a […] Read more »
Support for Legal Status Holds; So Do Sizable Partisan Divisions
Nearly six in 10 Americans back a path to legal status for undocumented immigrants, with narrow preference for prompt action on the issue. Partisan divisions are sharp, a factor likely to be reflected in the full Senate debate ahead. Overall, 58 percent in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll support […] Read more »