The word “spin” can mean many things. One definition is to present information in such a fashion that it makes people see something that isn’t really there. A classic example would be a memo from the Democratic firm Democracy Corps on a recent poll they conducted in “competitive House districts” […] Read more »
Why Americans Are Divided Between Two Political Parties
After President Obama’s rather comfortable victory over Mitt Romney last November, some Democrats thought the president could defy the laws of political gravity. They are now disappointed. So are Republicans who thought that controversies over Benghazi, the Internal Revenue Service, and domestic surveillance would bring Obama’s approval ratings crashing down […] Read more »
Senate 2014: One Direction, but How Far?
It’s too soon to see which way the Senate winds will be blowing in the fall of 2014. But unless conditions somehow change drastically, one thing seems certain, even 18 months out: The seat flips will be mainly or entirely in one Red direction. [cont.] Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik […] Read more »
The Senate GOP’s Primary Problem
… In the last two election cycles, Republicans suffered enough self-inflicted errors to cost their party Senate seats. These errors largely came in the form of contested primaries that produced nominees who were poorly positioned to win statewide general elections. As both parties gear up for 2014, primaries again threaten […] Read more »
Could recent political polls be painting a picture of what’s to come for Obama?
The mainstream media panic over the CNN/ORC poll showing President Obama’s net approval dropping 17pt to -9pt is over. Pew Research came out with a survey giving Obama a 6pt net favorable rating among adults – only down 2pt since its prior survey. The truth is that the drop is […] Read more »
Not So Fast: 2014 Congressional Battleground Very Competitive
The first Democracy Corps Congressional Battleground survey of the most competitive congressional seats will upset the conventional wisdom that there are very few seats in play in 2014. This survey shows Democrats could at least replicate the result in 2012, which produced a net gain of 8 seats for Democrats. […] Read more »