… In a bipartisan focus group conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Momentum Analysis and sponsored by Walmart, a group of undecided female voters were asked to vote for who they thought won the second presidential debate. Five women in the group said Obama, three said Mitt Romney, and two […] Read more »
Which Changed First, the Polls or the Markets?
While Wall Street has thrown the bulk of its donations behind Mitt Romney, it is not viewing his potential ascent as an entirely good thing for the markets. … Traders have not suddenly concluded that Mr. Romney is a sure bet for the White House — most prediction models still […] Read more »
CNN Poll: Obama edges Romney in debate
Debate watchers were divided on who won the second presidential debate between President Barack Obama and Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney, according to a new nationwide poll released late Tuesday night. The CNN/ORC International survey indicates 46% of debate watches say Obama won the debate, while 39% say Romney fared […] Read more »
CBS News Instant Poll: Obama edges Romney in second debate
President Obama edged Mitt Romney for a win in the second presidential debate Tuesday night, 37 percent of uncommitted voters said in a CBS News instant poll. Moments following the debate at Hofstra University in Hempstead, N.Y., 37 percent of voters polled said the president won, 30 percent awarded the […] Read more »
FL: Mack’s consultant, Arthur Finkelstein, makes case for why every pollster has it wrong
We’re really not too sure if this is news but Republican Connie Mack’s political consultant Arthur Finkelstein thinks he can win. Nontheless, his analysis is telling and the fact they he’s posted on the candidates’s web site for the world to hold him accountable for it come Nov. 7 is […] Read more »
Falling Prey to the Dangerous Temptation to Cherry-Pick Polls
Even a fairly calm spell in the polling, like the last couple of days, can give people opportunities to see what they want in the data. The most egregious form of this is cherry-picking the three or four polling results that you like best for your candidate. A vast majority […] Read more »